US Dollar Strengthens by 1.5% Over Past Fortnight

The US Dollar continues its upward trajectory, marking a 1.5% gain over the past two weeks. This surge reflects a shift in market sentiment, with traders re-evaluating their stance on the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.

Traders are now questioning the Fed’s previous forecasts of three rate cuts for the year, opting for a more cautious approach amid signs of continued economic growth. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed above the 104.00 mark, reaching levels not seen since February.

The resurgence of the US Dollar comes amidst global geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties. China and Russia’s opposition to a proposed ceasefire at a United Nations meeting has sparked concerns, leading to a sell-off in Chinese tech stocks and a weaker Yuan against major G7 currencies.

As investors navigate through market volatility, three Fed speakers are scheduled to provide insights on Friday. While Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s earlier comments had minimal impact on the markets, investors await remarks from Vice Chair Michael Barr and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic.

Equity markets are experiencing mixed performance, with Chinese indexes and European equities seeing declines, while US equities are mildly lower. Despite the uncertain market conditions, expectations for the Fed’s May meeting indicate a high likelihood of maintaining the current interest rate.

Technical analysis of the US Dollar Index reveals a bullish outlook, with the index nearing February highs. Key resistance levels at 104.96 and 105.00 are within sight, while support levels at the 200-day, 100-day, and 55-day Simple Moving Averages provide stability around the 103.00 mark.

Overall, the US Dollar’s recent strength reflects shifting market dynamics and cautious optimism amidst ongoing economic challenges and geopolitical tensions.