USD Rallies as U.S. GDP Growth Surges in Q2 2024

The U.S. Dollar (USD) experienced a significant rally today following the release of strong economic data. The U.S. economy grew by 2.8% in the second quarter of 2024, surpassing market expectations and nearly doubling the 1.4% growth rate observed in the first quarter – according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis’ initial estimate released on Thursday. This robust economic performance has bolstered confidence in the USD, which saw notable gains against major currencies including the Euro (EUR), British Pound (GBP), and Japanese Yen (JPY).

Impact on Major Currency Pairs

• EUR/USD: The Euro weakened against the USD, trading lower after disappointing German PMI data further exacerbated concerns about the Eurozone’s economic outlook. Rate cut expectations are on the rise, adding additional pressure on the Euro.
• GBP/USD: The British Pound faced mixed trading conditions but ultimately lost ground against the strengthening USD. The UK’s economic data has not provided sufficient support to counteract the Dollar’s momentum.
• USD/JPY: The Japanese Yen, which had recently shown signs of recovery, saw a pullback as the USD’s gains overshadowed the Yen’s strength. The broader market sentiment also shifted towards risk aversion, affecting the Yen’s performance.

Market Sentiment and Analysis

The surge in the USD reflects a broader shift towards safe-haven assets as investors react to mixed earnings reports from major U.S. tech companies and global economic uncertainties. The Nasdaq 100 experienced significant losses, which contributed to a cautious trading environment. Additionally, the liquidation of bullish Bitcoin bets, amounting to over $250 million, indicates a broader market risk-off sentiment.

Looking Ahead

Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming economic releases and central bank meetings, particularly the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve, for further guidance on interest rate policies. The strong U.S. GDP growth has set a positive tone for the USD, but market volatility remains high as geopolitical and economic factors continue to evolve.